<?xml version="1.0" encoding="utf-8" standalone="no"?>
<!DOCTYPE article SYSTEM "http://www.nat-hazards-earth-syst-sci.net/inc/nhess/copernicus.dtd">
<article language="en">
	<journal>
		<journal_title>Natural Hazards and Earth System Science</journal_title>
		<journal_url>www.nat-hazards-earth-syst-sci.net</journal_url>
		<issn>1561-8633</issn>
		<eissn>1684-9981</eissn>
		<volume_number>10</volume_number>
		<issue_number>1</issue_number>
		<publication_year>2010</publication_year>
	</journal>
	<doi>10.5194/nhess-10-133-2010</doi>
	<article_url>http://www.nat-hazards-earth-syst-sci.net/10/133/2010/</article_url>
	<abstract_html>http://www.nat-hazards-earth-syst-sci.net/10/133/2010/nhess-10-133-2010.html</abstract_html>
	<fulltext_pdf>http://www.nat-hazards-earth-syst-sci.net/10/133/2010/nhess-10-133-2010.pdf</fulltext_pdf>
	<start_page>133</start_page>
	<end_page>137</end_page>
	<publication_date>2010-01-22</publication_date>
	<article_title content_type="html">A qualitative study of the seismo-ionospheric precursors prior to the 6 April 2009 earthquake in L&apos;Aquila, Italy</article_title>
	<authors>
		<author numeration="1" affiliations="1">
			<name>G. S. Tsolis</name>
			<email>strantis@gmail.gr</email>
		</author>
		<author numeration="2" affiliations="1">
			<name>T. D. Xenos</name>
		</author>
	</authors>
	<affiliations>
		<affiliation numeration="1" content_type="html">Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering, 54006 Thessaloniki, Greece</affiliation>
	</affiliations>
	<abstract content_type="html">In this paper we use the Cross Correlation analysis method in conjunction
with the Empirical Mode Decomposition to analyze foF2 signals collected from
Rome, Athens and San Vito ionospheric stations, in order to verify the
existence of seismo-ionospheric precursors prior to &lt;i&gt;M&lt;/i&gt;=6.3 L&apos;Aquila
earthquake in Italy. The adaptive nature of EMD allows for removing the
geophysical noise from the foF2 signals, and then to calculate the
correlation coefficient between them. According to the cross correlation
coefficient theory, we expect the stations which located inside the
earthquake preparation area, as evaluated using Dobrovolsky equation, to
capture the ionospheric disturbances generated by the seismic event. On the
other hand the stations outside of this area are expected to remain
unaffected. The results of our study are in accordance with the theoretical
model, evidencing ionospheric modification prior to L&apos;Aquila earthquake in a
certain area around the epicenter. However, it was found that the selection
of stations at the limits of the theoretically estimated earthquake
preparation area is not the best choice when the cross correlation method is
applied, since the modification of the ionosphere over these stations may not
be enough for the ionospheric precursors to appear. Our experimental results
also show that when a seismic event constitutes the main shock after a series
of pre-seismic activity, precursors may appear as early as 22 days prior to
the event.</abstract>
	<references>
		<reference numeration="1" content_type="text"> Davies, K.: Ionospheric Radio, Peregrinus Ltd., London, UK, 1990. </reference>
		<reference numeration="2" content_type="text"> Dobrovolsky, I. R., Zubkov, S. I., and Myachkin, V. I.: Estimation of the size of earthquake preparation zones, Pure Appl. Geophys., 117, 1025–1044, 1979. </reference>
		<reference numeration="3" content_type="text"> Flandrin, P., Rilling, G., and Gonçalvès, P.: Empirical Mode Decomposition as a filter bank, IEEE Signal Proc. Lett., 11(2), 112–114, 2004a. </reference>
		<reference numeration="4" content_type="text"> Flandrin, P., Gonçalvès, P., and Rilling, G.: Detrending and denoising with Empirical Mode Decompositions, Eusipco, 12th European Signal Processing Conference, Vienna, Austria, 6–10 September 2004b. </reference>
		<reference numeration="5" content_type="text"> Huang, N. E., Shen, Z., Long, S. R., Wu, M. L., Shih, H. H., Zheng, Q., Yen, N. C., Tung, C. C., and Liu, H. H.: The empirical mode decomposition and Hilbert spectrum for nonlinear and nonstationary time series analysis, P. Roy. Soc. Lond A~Mat., 454, 903–995, 1998. </reference>
		<reference numeration="6" content_type="text"> Huang, N. E. and Attoh-Okine, N. O.: The Hilbert-Huang transform in engineering, Taylor &amp; Francis, 2005. </reference>
		<reference numeration="7" content_type="text"> Kouris, S. S., Spalla, P., and Zolesi, B.: Could ionospheric variations be precursors of a seismic event? A short discussion, Ann. Geofis, 44(2), 395–402, 2001. </reference>
		<reference numeration="8" content_type="text"> Liperovsky, V. A., Pokhotelov, O. A., Liperovskaya, E. V., Parrot, M., Meister, C. V., and Alimov, O. A.: Modification of sporadic E-layers caused by seismic activity, Surv. Geophys., 21, 449–486, 2000. </reference>
		<reference numeration="9" content_type="text"> Molchanov, O., Fedorov, E., Schekotov, A., Gordeev, E., Chebrov, V., Surkov, V., Rozhnoi, A., Andreevsky, S., Iudin, D., Yunga, S., Lutikov, A., Hayakawa, M., and Biagi, P. F.: Lithosphere-atmosphere-ionosphere coupling as governing mechanism for preseismic short-term events in atmosphere and ionosphere, Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 4, 757–767, 2004. </reference>
		<reference numeration="10" content_type="text"> Namgaladze, A. A., Zolotov, O. V., Zakharenkova, I. E., Shagimuratov, I. I., and Martynenko, O. V.: Ionospheric total electron content variations observed before earthquakes: Possible physical mechanism and modeling, Geomagn. Aeronomy+, 49(2), 252–262, 2009. </reference>
		<reference numeration="11" content_type="text"> Ouzounov, D. and Freund, F.: Ground-Atmosphere-Ionosphere interactions related to earthquakes: How can Earthscope help?, Earthscope Workshop: Making and Breaking a Continent, Report Snowbird, UT, USA, 2001. </reference>
		<reference numeration="12" content_type="text"> Pulinets, S. A.: Alekseev, V. A., Legenka, A. D., and Hegai, V. V.: Radon and Metallic Aerosols Emanation before Strong Earthquakes and their Role in Atmosphere and Ionosphere Modification, Adv. Space Res., 20(11), 2173–2176, 1997. </reference>
		<reference numeration="13" content_type="text"> Pulinets, S. A.: Ionospheric Precursors of Earthquakes; Recent Advances in Theory and Practical Applications, Terr. Atmos. Ocean. Sci., 15, 413–435, 2004. </reference>
		<reference numeration="14" content_type="text"> Pulinets, S. A., Gaivoronska, T. B., Leyva Contreras, A., and Ciraolo, L.: Correlation analysis technique revealing ionospheric precursors of earthquakes, Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 4, 697–702, 2004. </reference>
		<reference numeration="15" content_type="text"> Tsolis, G. S. and Xenos, T. D.: Seismo-ionospheric coupling correlation analysis of earthquakes in Greece, using empirical mode decomposition, Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 16, 123–130, 2009. </reference>
	</references>
</article>

