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Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 10, 2009-2020, 2010
www.nat-hazards-earth-syst-sci.net/10/2009/2010/
doi:10.5194/nhess-10-2009-2010
© Author(s) 2010. This work is distributed
under the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.


Probabilistic projections for 21st century European climate

G. R. Harris, M. Collins, D. M. H. Sexton, J. M. Murphy, and B. B. B. Booth
Met Office, Hadley Centre, Exeter EX1 3PB, UK

Abstract. We present joint probability distribution functions of future seasonal-mean changes in surface air temperature and precipitation for the European region for the SRES A1B emissions scenario. The probabilistic projections quantify uncertainties in the leading physical, chemical and biological feedbacks and combine information from perturbed physics ensembles, multi-model ensembles and observations.

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Citation: Harris, G. R., Collins, M., Sexton, D. M. H., Murphy, J. M., and Booth, B. B. B.: Probabilistic projections for 21st century European climate, Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 10, 2009-2020, doi:10.5194/nhess-10-2009-2010, 2010.   Bibtex   EndNote   Reference Manager    XML
 

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