| Volumes and Issues Contents of Issue 3/4 Special Issue |
www.nat-hazards-earth-syst-sci.net/2/239/2002/
© Author(s) 2002. This work is licensed
under a Creative Commons License.
A new method for avalanche hazard mapping using a combination of statistical and deterministic models
1Department of Hydraulic and Environmental Engineering, University of Pavia, Via Ferrata 1, I-27100 Pavia, Italy
2School of Geography,University of Leeds, Leeds, LS2 9JT, United Kingdom
Abstract. The purpose of the present paper is to propose a new method for avalanche hazard mapping using a combination of statistical and deterministic modelling tools. The methodology is based on frequency-weighted impact pressure, and uses an avalanche dynamics model embedded within a statistical framework. The outlined procedure provides a useful way for avalanche experts to produce hazard maps for the typical case of avalanche sites where historical records are either poorly documented or even completely lacking, as well as to derive confidence limits on the proposed zoning. The methodology is implemented using avalanche information from Iceland and the Swiss mapping criteria, and applied to an Icelandic real world avalanche-mapping problem.
Full Article (PDF, 789 KB)
Citation: Barbolini, M. and Keylock, C. J.: A new method for avalanche hazard mapping using a combination of statistical and deterministic models, Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 2, 239-245, 2002. Bibtex EndNote Reference Manager
