Estimating the long-term historic evolution of exposure to flooding of coastal populations

Stevens, A. J.; Clarke, D.; Nicholls, R. J.; Wadey, M. P.

doi:https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-15-1215-2015

Articles | Volume 15, issue 6

https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-15-1215-2015

© Author(s) 2015. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

Special issue:

Monitoring and modelling to guide coastal adaptation to extreme...

https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-15-1215-2015

© Author(s) 2015. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

Articles | Volume 15, issue 6

Research article

|

15 Jun 2015

Research article |

| 15 Jun 2015

Estimating the long-term historic evolution of exposure to flooding of coastal populations

A. J. Stevens, D. Clarke, R. J. Nicholls, and M. P. Wadey

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Final revised paper (published on 15 Jun 2015)
Preprint (discussion started on 27 Feb 2015)

Interactive discussion

Status: closed

AC: Author comment | RC: Referee comment | SC: Short comment | EC: Editor comment

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SC C126: 'The importance of exposure in flood risk', Niall Quinn, 04 Mar 2015
- SC C130: 'Reference - Smith (2015) quoted in the comment by N Quinn', Niall Quinn, 05 Mar 2015
- AC C142: 'Reply to Niall Quinn', Andrew Stevens, 07 Mar 2015
RC C528: 'Referee Comment', Anonymous Referee #1, 27 Apr 2015
- EC C537: 'Response to referee comment', Jenny Brown, 27 Apr 2015
- AC C552: 'Reply to Anonymous Author', Andrew Stevens, 29 Apr 2015
RC C557: 'nhess-2014-334 Stevens et al.', Anonymous Referee #2, 30 Apr 2015
- AC C565: 'Author Reply to Anonymous Reviewer #2', Andrew Stevens, 02 May 2015

Short summary

Using census data, historic maps and hydrodynamic modelling, this paper presents a methodology for assessing how the exposure of people to flooding has changed over the last 200 years at the local level in the UK. The method is applied to two case studies at Portsea and Hayling Islands in the UK's Solent region. The analysis shows that for the case studies, population rise has, to date, had a much greater influence on exposure than sea level rise.