Journal cover Journal topic
Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences An interactive open-access journal of the European Geosciences Union
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 15, 2069-2077, 2015
© Author(s) 2015. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Research article
16 Sep 2015
Recent trends in daily rainfall extremes over Montenegro (1951–2010)
D. Burić1, J. Luković2, B. Bajat3, M. Kilibarda3, and N. Živković2 1Institute of Hydrometeorology and Seismology of Montenegro, Podgorica, Montenegro
2University of Belgrade, Faculty of Geography, Belgrade, Serbia
3University of Belgrade, Faculty of Civil Engineering, Belgrade, Serbia
Abstract. More intense rainfall may cause a range of negative impacts upon society and the environment. In this study we analysed trends in extreme ETCCDI (Expert Team on Climate Change Detection and Indices) rainfall indices in Montenegro for the period between 1951 and 2010. Montenegro has been poorly studied in terms of rainfall extremes, yet it contains the wettest Mediterranean region known as Krivošije. Several indices of precipitation extremes were assessed including the number of dry days and rainfall totals in order to identify trends and possible changes. A spatial pattern relationship between extreme rainfall indices and the North Atlantic Oscillation has also been examined. The results generally suggest that the number of days with precipitation decreased while rainfall intensity increased, particularly in south-western parts of the country. A slight tendency towards intense rainfall events is suggested. The examined rainfall indices and North Atlantic Oscillation over Montenegro seemed to be directly linked to changes in one of the major large-scale circulation modes such as the NAO pattern that is particularly evident during the winter season.

Citation: Burić, D., Luković, J., Bajat, B., Kilibarda, M., and Živković, N.: Recent trends in daily rainfall extremes over Montenegro (1951–2010), Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 15, 2069-2077,, 2015.
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