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Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences An interactive open-access journal of the European Geosciences Union
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Volume 16, issue 8
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 16, 1807–1819, 2016
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-16-1807-2016
© Author(s) 2016. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

Special issue: Situational sea awareness technologies for maritime safety...

Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 16, 1807–1819, 2016
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-16-1807-2016
© Author(s) 2016. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

Review article 09 Aug 2016

Review article | 09 Aug 2016

Development of super-ensemble techniques for ocean analyses: the Mediterranean Sea case

Jenny Pistoia et al.
Data sets

Multi-Model Multi-Physics Dataset Istituto Nazionale Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV), Operational Oceanography Group http://oceanop.bo.ingv.it/mmse-dataset

Publications Copernicus
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Short summary
In this work we developed a new multi-model super-ensemble method to estimate sea surface temperature, an important product of ocean analysis systems. We find that ensemble size, quality, type of members and the training period length are all important elements of the MMSE methodology and require careful calibration. We show that with a rather limited but overconfident data set (with a low bias of the starting ensemble members) the RMSE analysis can be improved.
In this work we developed a new multi-model super-ensemble method to estimate sea surface...
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