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Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences An interactive open-access journal of the European Geosciences Union
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Volume 17, issue 7
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 17, 1177-1190, 2017
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-17-1177-2017
© Author(s) 2017. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 17, 1177-1190, 2017
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-17-1177-2017
© Author(s) 2017. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

Research article 14 Jul 2017

Research article | 14 Jul 2017

Increasing frequencies and changing characteristics of heavy precipitation events threatening infrastructure in Europe under climate change

Katrin M. Nissen and Uwe Ulbrich
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Cited articles  
Ban, N., Schmidli, J., and Schär, C.: Heavy precipitation in a changing climate: does short-term summer precipitation increase faster?, Geophys. Res. Lett., 42, 1165–1172, 2015.
Coles, S.: An Introduction to Modeling of Extreme Values, Springer, London, UK, 2001.
Collins, W. J., Bellouin, N., Doutriaux-Boucher, M., Gedney, N., Hinton, T., Jones, C. D., Liddicoat, S., Martin, G., O'Connor, F., Rae, J., Senior, C., Totterdell, I., Woodward, S., Reichler, T., and Kim, J.: Evaluation of the HadGEM2 model, Met Office Hadley Centre Technical Note HCTN 74, Met Office, FitzRoy Road, Exeter EX1 3PB, available at: https://digital.nmla.metoffice.gov.uk/archive/ (last access: 11 July 2017), 2008.
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The effect of climate change on potentially infrastructure damaging heavy precipitation events in Europe is investigated. A novel technique records not only event frequency but also event size, duration and severity as these parameters determine the potential consequences of the event. Over most of Europe the frequency and size of heavy precipitation events is predicted to increase. Moreover, the most severe events are predicted for future periods.
The effect of climate change on potentially infrastructure damaging heavy precipitation events...
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