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Volume 17, issue 12 | Copyright
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 17, 2199-2211, 2017
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-17-2199-2017
© Author(s) 2017. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

Research article 08 Dec 2017

Research article | 08 Dec 2017

Climate change impacts on flood risk and asset damages within mapped 100-year floodplains of the contiguous United States

Cameron Wobus et al.
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Abramowitz, G.: Model independence in multi-model ensemble prediction, Aust. Meteorol. Ocean., 59, 3–6, 2010.
Archfield, S. A., Hirsch, R. M., Viglione, A., and Blöschl, G.: Fragmented patterns of flood change across the United States, Geophys. Res. Lett., 43, 10232–10239, https://doi.org/10.1002/2016GL070590, 2016.
Arnell, N. W. and Gosling, S. N.: The impacts of climate change on river flood risk at the global scale, Climatic Change, 134, 387–401, 2016.
Berghuijs, W. R., Woods, R. A., Hutton, C. J., and Sivapalan, M.: Dominant flood generating mechanisms across the United States, Geophys. Res. Lett., 43, 4382–4390, 2016.
Bishop, C. H. and Abramowitz, G.: Climate model dependence and the replicate Earth paradigm, Clim. Dynam., 41, 885–900, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-012-1610-y, 2013.
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Short summary
We linked modeled changes in the frequency of historical 100-year flood events to a national inventory of built assets within mapped floodplains of the United States. This allowed us to project changes in inland flooding damages nationwide under two alternative greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions scenarios. Our results suggest that more aggressive GHG reductions could reduce the projected monetary damages from inland flooding, potentially saving billions of dollars annually by the end of the century.
We linked modeled changes in the frequency of historical 100-year flood events to a national...
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