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Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences An interactive open-access journal of the European Geosciences Union

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Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 17, 993-1001, 2017
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-17-993-2017
© Author(s) 2017. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Volume 17, issue 7
Research article
03 Jul 2017
Simple and approximate estimations of future precipitation return values
Rasmus E. Benestad et al.

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Publications Copernicus
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Risk and uncertainty estimation in natural hazards
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We propose a strategy for quantifying the maximum effect a temperature change has on heavy precipitation amounts, making use of the limited available sources of information: laws of physics, seasonal variations, mathematical estimation of probability, and s large number of climate model results. An upper bound is estimated rather than the most likely value.
We propose a strategy for quantifying the maximum effect a temperature change has on heavy...
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