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NHESS | Articles | Volume 18, issue 12
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 18, 3283-3296, 2018
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-18-3283-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 18, 3283-3296, 2018
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-18-3283-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Research article 12 Dec 2018

Research article | 12 Dec 2018

Potential impact of climate change and extreme events on slope land hazard – a case study of Xindian watershed in Taiwan

Shih-Chao Wei et al.
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Cited articles  
Armanini, A., Fraccarollo, L., and Rosatti, G.: Two-dimensional simulation of debris flows in erodible channels, Comput. Geosci.-UK, 35, 993–1006, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cageo.2007.11.008, 2009. 
Baum, R. L., Savage, W. Z., and Godt, J. W.: TRIGRS – A Fortran Program for Transient Rainfall Infiltration and Grid-Based Regional Slope-Stability Analysis, Version 2.0, Report 2008–1159, U. S. Geological Survey, Denver, Colorado, USA, available at: http://pubs.er.usgs.gov/publication/ofr20081159 (last access: 20 October 2009), 2008. 
Buma, J. and Dehn, M.: A method for predicting the impact of climate change on slope stability, Environ. Geol., 35, 190–196, https://doi.org/10.1007/s002540050305, 1998. 
Central Geological Survey: Research on Application of the Investigation Results for the upstream Watershed of Flood-Prone Area, Central Geological Survey, New Taipei City, Taiwan, 2010. 
Chang, K. T. and Chiang, S. H.: An integrated model for predicting rainfall-induced landslides, Geomorphology, 105, 366–373, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.geomorph.2008.10.012, 2009. 
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We adopted the projected rainfall coupled with the shallow landslide prediction, debris flow simulation, and loss assessment to investigate the impact in Xindian watershed, Taiwan. Upon comparing the worst events in the late 20th and 21st centuries, the economic losses are projected to increase by 27.8 % due to the increasing disasters on slope land caused by climate change. The influence downstream will be mainly in the form of indirect impacts such as a water supply shortage.
We adopted the projected rainfall coupled with the shallow landslide prediction, debris flow...
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