Articles | Volume 19, issue 8
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-19-1737-2019
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-19-1737-2019
Research article
 | 
13 Aug 2019
Research article |  | 13 Aug 2019

Uncertainty quantification of flood mitigation predictions and implications for interventions

Koen D. Berends, Menno W. Straatsma, Jord J. Warmink, and Suzanne J. M. H. Hulscher

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Cited articles

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Berends, K. D., Warmink, J. J., and Hulscher, S. J. M. H.: Efficient uncertainty quantification for impact analysis of human interventions in rivers, Environ. Modell. Softw., 107, 50–58, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2018.05.021, 2018. a, b, c, d, e, f, g, h, i, j
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Short summary
River flooding is a major safety concern. Sophisticated models are used to design ways to decrease flood risk, but until recently it was not feasible to calculate how uncertain these model predictions are. Using a new approach, we have now quantified the uncertainty of 12 interventions along the River Waal. Results show significant but not problematically high uncertainty. We demonstrate that the choice between interventions can be different when uncertainty is taken into account.
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