Articles | Volume 19, issue 10
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-19-2249-2019
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-19-2249-2019
Research article
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11 Oct 2019
Research article | Highlight paper |  | 11 Oct 2019

Geologic and geomorphic controls on rockfall hazard: how well do past rockfalls predict future distributions?

Josh Borella, Mark Quigley, Zoe Krauss, Krystina Lincoln, Januka Attanayake, Laura Stamp, Henry Lanman, Stephanie Levine, Sam Hampton, and Darren Gravley

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Cited articles

Agliardi, F. and Crosta, G. B.: High resolution three-dimensional numerical modeling of rockfalls, Int. J. Rock Mech. Min. Sci., 40, 455–471, https://doi.org/10.1016/S1365-1609(03)00021-2, 2003. 
Bartelt, P., Buehler, Y., Christen, M., Deubelbeiss, Y., Graf, C., and McArdell, B. W.: RAMMS – rapid mass movements simulation: A numerical model for rockfall in research practice, User Manual v1.5, Davos, Switzerland, 102 pp., 2013. 
Bell, D. H. and Trangmar, B. B.: Regolith materials and erosion processes on the Port Hills, Christchurch, New Zealand, Fifth International Symposium on Landslides, A. A. Balkema, Lausanne, 93–105, 1987. 
Borella, J., Quigley, M., and Vick, L.: Anthropocene rockfalls travel farther than prehistoric predecessors, Sci. Adv., 2, e1600969, https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.1600969, 2016a. 
Borella, J., Quigley, M., Sohbati, R., Almond, P., Gravley, D. M., and Murray, A.: Chronology and processes of late Quaternary hillslope sedimentation in the eastern South Island, New Zealand, J. Quaternary Sci., 31, 691–712, https://doi.org/10.1002/jqs.2905, 2016b. 
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Short summary
Here we evaluate geologic, geomorphic, and anthropogenic controls on rockfall hazard and highlight the complexity of interpreting future rockfall hazard based on former boulder distributions. To evaluate how past rockfall deposits relate to contemporary rockfall hazard, we mapped then compared the locations, physical characteristics, and lithologies of rockfall boulders deposited during the 2010–2011 Canterbury earthquake sequence (n = 185) with their prehistoric counterparts (n = 1093).
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