Articles | Volume 20, issue 4
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-20-1187-2020
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-20-1187-2020
Research article
 | 
30 Apr 2020
Research article |  | 30 Apr 2020

Improving early warning of drought-driven food insecurity in southern Africa using operational hydrological monitoring and forecasting products

Shraddhanand Shukla, Kristi R. Arsenault, Abheera Hazra, Christa Peters-Lidard, Randal D. Koster, Frank Davenport, Tamuka Magadzire, Chris Funk, Sujay Kumar, Amy McNally, Augusto Getirana, Greg Husak, Ben Zaitchik, Jim Verdin, Faka Dieudonne Nsadisa, and Inbal Becker-Reshef

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AC: Author comment | RC: Referee comment | SC: Short comment | EC: Editor comment
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Peer-review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision
ED: Reconsider after major revisions (further review by editor and referees) (29 Nov 2019) by Carmelo Cammalleri
AR by Natascha Töpfer on behalf of the Authors (27 Jan 2020)  Author's response
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (03 Feb 2020) by Carmelo Cammalleri
RR by Anonymous Referee #1 (03 Feb 2020)
RR by Anonymous Referee #2 (15 Feb 2020)
ED: Publish as is (25 Feb 2020) by Carmelo Cammalleri
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Short summary
The region of southern Africa is prone to climate-driven food insecurity events, as demonstrated by the major drought event in 2015–2016. This study demonstrates that recently developed NASA Hydrological Forecasting and Analysis System-based root-zone soil moisture monitoring and forecasting products are well correlated with interannual regional crop yield, can identify below-normal crop yield events and provide skillful crop yield forecasts, and hence support early warning of food insecurity.
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